Perplexity Will Show Live US Election Results Despite AI Accuracy Warnings (arstechnica.com) 9
An anonymous reader quotes a report from Ars Technica: On Friday, Perplexity launched an election information hub that relies on data from The Associated Press and Democracy Works to provide live updates and information about the 2024 US general election, which takes place on Tuesday, November 5. "Starting Tuesday, we'll be offering live updates on elections using data from The Associated Press so you can stay informed on presidential, senate, and house races at both a state and national level," Perplexity wrote in a blog post. The site will pull data from special data sources (called APIs) hosted by the two organizations. As of Monday, Perplexity's hub currently provides interactive information on voting requirements, poll times, and summaries about ballot measures, candidates, policy positions, and endorsements. Users can ask questions about the information similar to using a chatbot like ChatGPT.
Perplexity's embrace of providing election information is an exception in the AI field. Wary about accidentally providing misinformation, competitor AI assistants from OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic currently direct users elsewhere or decline to answer election questions. OpenAI's ChatGPT Search directs election result queries to The Associated Press and Reuters. Perplexity describes its new elections hub as "an entry point for understanding key issues." But like other AI models, Perplexity can produce confabulations (plausible incorrect information) when generating responses. That could present an accuracy problem because the site's Voter Guide service uses AI language models to summarize and interpret information pulled from the web. Here's what Ars Technica advises: "Take what you see on Perplexity's site with a huge grain of salt -- do not rely on it without verifying the information with a trustworthy external source."
Perplexity's embrace of providing election information is an exception in the AI field. Wary about accidentally providing misinformation, competitor AI assistants from OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic currently direct users elsewhere or decline to answer election questions. OpenAI's ChatGPT Search directs election result queries to The Associated Press and Reuters. Perplexity describes its new elections hub as "an entry point for understanding key issues." But like other AI models, Perplexity can produce confabulations (plausible incorrect information) when generating responses. That could present an accuracy problem because the site's Voter Guide service uses AI language models to summarize and interpret information pulled from the web. Here's what Ars Technica advises: "Take what you see on Perplexity's site with a huge grain of salt -- do not rely on it without verifying the information with a trustworthy external source."
Why not? (Score:2)
From their perspective, I mean. If they get things wrong, nobody will remember. It's a new technology after all, and you're asking it to predict the future, so you chalk it up to the impossibility of the task with present levels of technology. But if they get it *right*, they'll have the media and the nattering classes eating out of their hand for years to come.
This is much like polling. Polling is inherently imprecise. Forget the "margin of error", that's the sampling error if they do everything else p
Re: (Score:2)
So within the relatively wide pragmatic confidence interval of polling results, and with diversity of models and methods used by pollsters, *somebody* always gets it right by sheer luck.
Which is what makes the polls this year so suspicious. Nate Silver called it "herding" - all the polls are showing a race tied within the margin of error. Almost every poll reports a confidence interval of 95%, so that means you'd expect 5% of polls - if they were truly random samples - to be outside that range.
But they aren't. Because every pollster is absolutely terrified that they'll be declared "wrong" if the election doesn't go the way they polled. And a pollster who is "wrong" won't get paid to run po
Re: (Score:2)
The way this is supposed to work is that you develop a methodology to weight stuff and you follow it where it leads, and only *then* do you update your models for things like voter turnout and response, after you've taken your lumps. Altering your method to fix results you don't want to see should technically be regarded as professional malpractice.
Re: (Score:2)
Computers [historyofinformation.com] vs humans [enemyinmirror.com]. It could go either way.
And with .1% of the vote in... (Score:3)
Perplexity has called the race for US President! Congratulations, President Pat Buchanan!
Who? (Score:2)
Can't wait for RFK Jr. to win (Score:2)
Idiots. (Score:2)
Might as well throw another gasoline soaked log on the blazing fire of things to point to when denying the election.
Doesn't matter. The US has given up on democracy. The perception persists... but if the vote is only valid if your candidate wins, it's a fraud. If the view was only held by a few folks maybe you could claim the abandonment of democracy is an overstatement... but it's not.